Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Tag: Evidence-Based Investing

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Howard Marks is a very successful writer, speaker, thinker, and money manager.  He is Co-Chair of Oaktree; you can read his impressive bio here.

We think you need to hear this clip because it is one of the better examples of all time, in our humble opinion, illustrating why taking the long view is likely the winning approach.

There is no need to swing for the fences to be a successful investor. It’s actually the opposite.

Enjoy this classic clip from Howard Marks’ interview with Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg’s Masters In Business from 2019.

 

*If you want the full interview, you can find it here.

Podcast Episode – Boring is Not Bad

 

A year out from the fear and uncertainty that caused the rapid pandemic-driven market crash of 2020, the financial media is back at it again with what they do best: spinning stories about the latest must-have investments. In this episode, Matt Hall explains why the boring route is the satisfying road to successful investing. Listen on Apple or click below.

Performance data discussed represents hypothetical past performance. This data is intended for educational purposes only and does not show the historical or expected results of any specific investor or Hill client. Data discussed is in US dollars. Indices are not available for direct investment and performance does not reflect expenses of an actual portfolio. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance discussed. The Investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate so that an Investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost.

 

The Great Debate – Election Years vs. the Stock Market

Whether your political views are right, left, or somewhere in between, you should check out this video. Election years tend to heighten everyone’s anxiety. This video does a great job of helping us as investors understand what to do.

As changes to tax reform, foreign policy, and social issues loom, it’s totally natural to be tempted to make short-term portfolio changes to profit from the uncertainty, or to minimize losses. But, as we know, markets are extremely efficient at processing new information and adjusting prices based on future expectations, so research would tell us any fears or expectations about the results of the presidential election are already baked in.

So, what’s a savvy investor to do? Our friends at Dimensional Funds skillfully reframe the perspective provided by the regular media.

Going back to 1928, when Herbert Hoover was elected president over Al Smith, the S&P 500 has returned on average 11.3% during election years and 9.9% in the subsequent year. In fact, there have been only three presidents in history that have seen negative returns in the stock market over their presidential tenure: Herbert Hoover during the Wall Street Crash of 1929, Franklin Roosevelt during the Great Depression, and George W. Bush in the 2000s during a time known as the Lost Decade.

Our takeaway? Make sure your investment plan fits your goals and stick with it. No matter what the regular media is saying, the data shows whoever is in the White House is unlikely to negatively impact the long-term value of your nest egg.

Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Hill Investment Group