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Category: Philosophy
Data Data Everywhere
Using data and evidence to make better decisions is one of our foundational beliefs, yet some of the sports world is just finally catching on.
The May episode of 60 Minutes Sports on Showtime looks at the use of analytics in the NBA. The episode features the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference and shows how data is helping teams make better decisions about players and players make better decisions on the court.
Much like when traditional investment wisdom was turned on its head, the NBA has learned that it’s not always the highest vertical jump, the fastest dribbler or the most slam dunks that indicate the best recruit or combination of players. As their understanding of the data continues to evolve, it helps coaches and owners make more informed decisions for the long run.
You can watch a trailer of “The Revolution of Sports Analytics” report or Showtime subscribers can watch the full episode (Episode 5) OnDemand or via Showtime. More information and links are available here.
Context is Everything
Hill Investment Group’s penchant for boiling down complex issues into simple visual ideas is one of the many things I believe sets us apart. It’s a piece of what made Hill immediately comfortable to me, as over the past decade I’ve been applying these concepts to the communication of personal financial data.
Academic studies show that people only remember a tiny percentage of what they hear and only slightly more of what they read. But we retain a majority of what we see and actively experience—and the use of color can even further increase understanding.
Having clarity in financial infrastructure—particularly in complex situations—is critical to contextual financial decision-making. Visualization techniques have proven a highly effective manner for providing that clearly.
I look forward to further exploring how visualization impacts financial understanding and, ultimately, success.
The Importance of Education
We’ve long been believers that investor education is an essential component of our relationships with our clients, so we’ve continually challenged ourselves to make the tenets of our philosophy as easily understood as they can be. Below you’ll see the most basic 5 points. Master these, and you’re on your way to a high level of financial sophistication.
1: Markets Are Efficient
Public information is of little fundamental value. New information is so quickly incorporated into asset prices that use of this knowledge cannot be expected to consistently yield superior risk-adjusted returns.
2: Risk and Expected Reward Are Related
Investors who expect or need to achieve higher returns must accept the associated risk. Equity-like returns do not come without commensurate risks. There is no promise of high returns without high risk.
3: Diversification Works
Global diversification across a variety of imperfectly correlated asset classes is the most effective way to reduce risk. Diversification is always working, whether we are pleased with the immediate results or not. Diversification should be thought of as the equivalent of buying insurance against having all of your investment eggs in the wrong basket.
4: Markets Are Unpredictable in the Short Run and Even in the Long Run
In the long run, we expect that equity markets will rise more than fall. Individuals who correctly predict short-term market movements should likely attribute their results to luck rather than skill.
5: Discipline Is Key to Successful Investing
For far too many investors, the variable that ultimately determines the results of their portfolio is not investment returns but investor behavior. Emotions can lead investors to make poor decisions at the wrong times. It is easy to remain disciplined during bull markets. However, it is far more important to do so in bear markets and avoid the human propensity to sell at market bottoms.
Summary
No matter where your plan goes, we will continue to place the utmost importance on evaluating risk tolerance, building a globally diversified portfolio, and implementing regular, disciplined rebalancing techniques. Having such knowledge changes the way you approach investing.