Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Category: Philosophy

What is the ‘Market’ Really Made of?

Global Market
Click to expand.

It’s certainly not the “Dow” as Allan Sloan so excellently covered in his recent piece. (You can also find the perfect summary by The Week here.) It’s not even the S&P 500—which is just the 500 largest companies in the U.S. Add in nearly all US, International, and Emerging Market stocks, bringing your total in the neighborhood of 12,000 companies, and then you’ll have a feel for what we call global capitalism. That’s also what we at Hill consider to be the true market. The image above shows the percent that each country represents in world market capitalization as of December 31, 2014. Note where some markets might be much smaller that expected. Even the U.S. only represents 52% of the total, whereas most investors we meet come with portfolios that have little other exposure outside of that.

Silver Fox Does a Podcast with Carl Richards

Readers of our newsletter know the name Carl Richards. Carl is known for connecting money and emotion via his column and sketches on the NY Times web site. He has nearly 200 sketches featured on the site here. Carl recently invited Rick Hill to do a podcast with him and we’re excited to share this 4 minute clip of the conversation with you. Click the image to listen.

Warning of Lower Expected Returns

Just four weeks ago, Jason Zweig of The Wall Street Journal warned investors to lower their long-term expectations of stock returns going forward. He gave one bit of advice for improving your odds of success—diversify internationally. If you’re a client of Hill Investment Group you can put a check mark next to this guidance. Unlike most investors, you’ve had significant international exposure since becoming a client. Here’s an excerpt:

After more than six years of a bull market, investors should stare a cold, hard truth straight in the face: Future returns on stocks are likely to be far slimmer than the fat gains of the past few years.

Leading investment analysts think you will be lucky to squeeze out an average return of 2% annually, after inflation and fees, from a typical portfolio of stocks and bonds over the coming decade or so.

Investment expenses will loom much larger in a world of smaller expected returns. So will avoiding big mistakes.

Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Hill Investment Group