At Hill Investment Group, we believe in helping our clients take the long view when it comes to their financial well-being. But what does that mean in practice? It’s about more than just numbers; it’s about finding strategies that improve your financial outcomes and give you peace of mind. 

Quantifying the Impact of Financial Advice

Several research studies have attempted to quantify the value of good financial advice. Vanguard estimates the impact at up to 3% per year, calling it “Advisor’s Alpha.” Morningstar refers to it as “Gamma,” measuring it at 1.59% per year for retirees. While the terminology may differ, the consensus is clear: thoughtful, evidence-based financial advice can significantly enhance your financial outcomes over time.

At Hill Investment Group, we believe this value goes beyond just dollars and percentages. It’s about guiding you through market fluctuations, life changes, and financial decisions with a steady hand, always focusing on the big picture.

The Behavioral Factor: Turning Plans into Action

One of the most overlooked benefits of working with a financial advisor is ensuring that the plan actually gets implemented. Most people know they should save more, spend wisely, and avoid emotional investing decisions, but turning intention into action is another matter entirely. This is where Hill Investment Group comes in—providing the support, coaching, and accountability needed to take the long view and stay the course.

The “Compared to What” Problem

Measuring the value of financial advice isn’t straightforward. It’s one thing to compare two specific strategies and determine which is better. It’s another to assess how much value a financial planner adds in the abstract, especially when we can’t know how someone would have behaved without the advice.

For example, a strategy that maximizes wealth might not be best if it leaves you feeling anxious about potential losses. What truly matters is how well a strategy aligns with your goals and risk tolerance. A financial plan that looks perfect on paper might not be ideal if it keeps you up at night. At Hill Investment Group, we focus on strategies that not only work on spreadsheets but also fit seamlessly into your life.

More Than Just Portfolio Management

Financial advice goes beyond portfolio management. It touches on various areas like tax planning, insurance, estate planning, and retirement strategies. And while some benefits, like tax savings from effective asset location, are easier to quantify, others, like peace of mind from knowing your financial house is in order, are invaluable.

The Bottom Line

At Hill Investment Group, we believe that the true value of financial planning is not just in the strategies recommended but in their execution and alignment with your personal goals. It’s not just about achieving higher returns or paying less in taxes—it’s about living a life where your finances support your well-being and aspirations. That’s the essence of taking the long view.

Historically, the US Equity market has returned about 10% annually to investors from 1926 – 2022. Due to this historical rate of return, many investors expect this level of return year over year. However, stock markets are highly volatile. Although the average is 10% per year, it is extremely rare for the market to be up 10% over any given year.

Since 1927, there have only been 6 years where the stock market returned between 8-12%. Thus, even though you should expect the market to give you a 10% return, you should expect the market over any given year to hardly ever give you a 10% return. It is this bumpy road that creates the risk in investing in equities, which is why you are compensated with the 10% annual average return. The key is to take the long view and not look at quarter-to-quarter or year-to-year returns.

People often panic when their expectations don’t match reality. Investors expect a 10% return every year, which will often not materialize. When the market goes down and does not match this 10% expectation, investors tend to panic. Changing your expectations on the range of outcomes of equities while keeping in mind the long-term average can help investors stick to their plan.

Hill Investment Group is a registered investment adviser. Registration of an Investment Advisor does not imply any level of skill or training.  This information is educational and does not intend to make an offer for the sale of any specific securities, investments, or strategies.  Investments involve risk, and past performance is not indicative of future performance. Return will be reduced by advisory fees and any other expenses incurred in managing a client’s account. Consult with a qualified financial adviser before implementing any investment strategy.

Hill Investment Group may discuss and display charts, graphs, and formulas which are not intended to be used by themselves to determine which securities to buy or sell, or when to buy or sell them. Such charts and graphs offer limited information and should not be used alone to make investment decisions.

At conferences, I often hear experts advocate for private and alternative investments, claiming they’re essential for our largest and most sophisticated clients. They argue that these exclusive opportunities are what the wealthy truly want. These voices are growing louder, and the products they pitch are becoming more prevalent.

At Hill Investment Group, we take a different approach. We continue to value simplicity and transparency, regardless of how much money our clients have. We avoid complex, illiquid, and expensive options, even when others say they’re necessary. Our guiding question is this: once the marginal utility of wealth kicks in—when each additional dollar has less impact on your life—why take on added risks?

You can achieve extraordinary success by embracing what we call a “passive-aggressive” approach:

• Own global capitalism: Invest in broad market ETFs.
• Tilt toward premiums: Focus on factors identified by research to enhance returns.
• Rebalance regularly: Sell what’s done well, buy what’s lagged.
• Tax loss harvest: Capture losses to offset gains.
• Let it compound: Give your investments time to grow.
• Keep investing: Stay committed over the long term.
• Ignore the noise: Focus on your strategy, not the headlines.

By sticking to these principles, you can build and preserve wealth without getting caught up in the complexities that others might push.

Keep it simple!