Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Category: Education

HIG’s View on Market Volatility

By the time you’re reading this, the market volatility that burst onto the scene and into the headlines in early February may already feel like ancient news. Or not.

As Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig said in his February 5th column, “The Stock Market Didn’t Get Tested – You Did.” To make good use of the stress test, we decided to respond to the events while they were still fresh. Here, we share our thoughts to this common question of the day:

“When someone asks what has happened in the market today (February 5th), what would a HIG employee say?”


 

Rick Hill – This is a particularly good time to ignore breaking news. Market declines are expected. Historically we’ve seen declines as steep as 25–30% about every five years. Whatever happens next, the best strategy for investors who have a planned asset allocation is to stay with it. That gives you the best odds of achieving your financial goals.

Buddy Reisinger – Hey, did you watch the Super Bowl? (I hope so.) Did you watch it on a huge, flat screen? (Of course.) No wonder Best Buy and all the other electronics stores were offering huge sales on the latest TVs and home theaters right before game day. Well, guess what? The market is on sale right now and, like most sales, it’s probably temporary. If your investment plan calls for it, now is the perfect time to buy while stocks are on sale. And if you’re already all set, remember the Long View is looking up.

Nell Schiffer – Look at it this way: Stocks are on sale. Remember, your best chance to make more money (if that’s your goal) is by being on the patient side of the trades when everyone else gets scared. The secret formula to achieve that: Save habitually, invest globally, tilt toward small, cheap companies … and stay put. Repeat until rich.

Matt Hall – When thinking about investing, I try not to think in days. We are interested in decades and longer. “C’mon Matt, really?” Yep, the smart money is patient and disciplined; we teach and have been rewarded for both. The great Warren Buffett said, “Our favorite holding period is forever.” I’m with him. It reminds me of our firm’s motto: Take the Long View.®

Katie Ackerman – It’s true, the market can be a crazy thing. But we encourage our clients to stick to the plan we’ve created together. Knee-jerk reactions often lose money. All of that noise you see and hear in the popular press … It sells more magazines than our “boring” plan to help you become and stay rich.”

 

John Reagan – Honestly? I didn’t even know the market went down until you asked the question. I was busy taking care of our clients’ long-term needs, helping them focus on things we and they can control. After-hours, I prefer to run after my two young boys instead of the stock market.


So there you have it. Whether market volatility lays low again for a while or it’s recurring as you read this, we hope you’ll find our “live-action” answers worthwhile whenever you may be wondering (or worrying) about what the market might do next.

And by the way, despite the common themes you see throughout our responses … No, we did not cheat and look at each other’s answers on this test!

Illustration of the Month: A Vertical View of Global Returns

We encourage investors to mostly look past annual returns and keep their eyes on the market’s long-term performance. But it can be helpful to consider annual reports too, as long as we do so within this greater perspective.

Speaking of perspective, there’s also global versus domestic viewpoints. The Dimensional Fund Advisors chart below, ranking 2017 return sources, illustrates why we continue to believe it’s best to globally diversify your risks and expected returns around the world. While the U.S. S&P 500 performed nicely in 2017, returning just under 22 percent, notice how many international markets did even better, with emerging markets significantly outpacing all the rest.

Of course, from one year to the next, the reverse can easily be true. So, to quote Nick Murray, an industry thought leader:

“We will never own enough of any one idea to make a killing in it. We will never own enough of any one idea to risk being killed by it.”

This is what diversification is for.

In Your Cyber-Corner: Who’s Your Trusted Contact Person?

Not long ago, keeping your financial stuff secure meant having a safety deposit box at your local bank. Wow, times have changed. A real or virtual safety deposit box still comes in handy, but it’s only the beginning. Not sure where to start building solid cybersecurity? Welcome to our periodic column, “In Your Cyber-Corner.” As Hill Investment Group’s Chief Operating Officer and resident “sheriff,” I’ll be offering one or two take-homes at a time. Today, I’ll take on the role a Trusted Contact Person (TCP) can play in safeguarding your stuff.

Picture this. You’re celebrating your 25th wedding anniversary on an ocean cruise. Halfway through, your account custodian receives an unusual electronic request from “you,” asking for a substantial cash transfer abroad. Naturally, they would like to confirm whether it’s really you, but they are unable to reach you. They ask us, your advisor, but we can’t confirm your intentions either.

Or here’s another, far less happy, but increasingly common scenario. Unfortunately, your spouse is exhibiting early warning signs of dementia. One day, he contacts your account custodian out of the blue and asks for a cashier’s check on the entire $550,000 balance in his IRA account. Of course it’s his money, but …

What next? Many custodians (including Charles Schwab) allow you to designate TCPs to contact if they suspect you may be subject to financial exploitation, or with questions about your mental or physical well-being. For example, if you’ve named your daughter as a TCP, they can contact her, let her know what has transpired, and seek her input. Spouses also can name one another as TCPs for each other.

Your TCP does NOT have power of attorney (unless you’ve granted that separately). Schwab notes that your TCP “is not authorized to make investment decisions or withdraw funds from your account.” Naming a TCP does enable your custodian to place a temporary hold on suspicious transactions and report the incident to law enforcement agencies.

So go ahead, pack those bags, enjoy your busy life and make the most of your wealth. If you’re interested in more information on designating a TCP, simply email us at service@hillinvestmentgroup, or call us if you’re a Hill Investment Group client and we’ll make it happen.

Featured entries from our Journal

Details Are Part of Our Difference

Embracing the Evidence at Anheuser-Busch – Mid 1980s

529 Best Practices

David Booth on How to Choose an Advisor

The One Minute Audio Clip You Need to Hear

Hill Investment Group